Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games
Prediction markets currently give a 33% probability that Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games. This contract trades at 33¢ on Kalshi, closing January 23, 2027. This illiquid micro-market on Minnesota's 2026-27 primetime schedule shows extreme asymmetry, with the Yes side offering a 552.6% annualized yield versus just 30.4% for No—a red flag suggesting either mispricing or severe liquidity constraints.
Analysis
This illiquid micro-market on Minnesota's 2026-27 primetime schedule shows extreme asymmetry, with the Yes side offering a 552.6% annualized yield versus just 30.4% for No—a red flag suggesting either mispricing or severe liquidity constraints. The $171 open interest and zero 24-hour volume indicate virtually no trading activity, while the 14¢ spread represents 42% of the current price, making any position entry or exit costly. With 282 days to expiry and a modest 17¢ to 19¢ price movement over the past week, this market appears abandoned and should be approached cautiously given its illiquidity and the difficulty in establishing or closing positions at reasonable prices.
Resolution rules
If Minnesota plays in at least 5 primetime games during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNFLPRIMETIME-27-MIN yes 100