Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games
Prediction markets currently give a 46% probability that Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games. This contract trades at 46¢ on Kalshi, closing January 23, 2027. This illiquid market shows extreme yield asymmetry, with Yes positions offering a 275% annualized return versus just 61% for No, suggesting the 46¢ price may undervalue Washington's primetime game likelihood given their typical scheduling patterns.
Analysis
This illiquid market shows extreme yield asymmetry, with Yes positions offering a 275% annualized return versus just 61% for No, suggesting the 46¢ price may undervalue Washington's primetime game likelihood given their typical scheduling patterns. The $171 open interest and zero 24-hour volume indicate minimal trading activity, making the 14¢ spread potentially unreliable for execution. With 282 days to expiry and a modest 2-point cliff risk index, there's time for price discovery, though the recent 2¢ uptick from 30¢ hints at gradual accumulation by informed traders betting on Washington receiving primetime slots.
Resolution rules
If Washington plays in at least 5 primetime games during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNFLPRIMETIME-27-WAS yes 100