SimpleFunctions

Total Goals for PSG vs Arsenal

1.5 goals scored is priced at 75¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 73¢ bid, 75¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside PSG vs Arsenal: Total Goals: Over.

Price history

75¢ current

+6¢
60¢70¢80¢
May 7, 2026May 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Arsenal and PSG collectively score more than 1.5 total goals in the PSG vs Arsenal professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

1.5 goals scored

Rank

#1 of 4

Leader

1.5 goals scored 73¢

Range

11¢-73¢

Family volume

$9K

Identifier

KXUCLTOTAL-26MAY30PSGARS-1

May 26, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 18m ago

Implied probability

75¢
Latest venue quote
May 26, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 18m ago

Bid

73¢

Ask

75¢

Spread

24h volume

$8

Family rank

#1 of 4

4 outcomes · PSG vs Arsenal: Total Goals: Over

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Family volume

$9K

Orderbook snapshot

73 / 75¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
73¢1.6K
72¢6.2K
71¢3.6K
70¢2.8K
69¢2.0K
AskSize
75¢2.4K
76¢3.2K
77¢5.5K
78¢6.3K
79¢7.2K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Arsenal and PSG collectively score more than 1.5 total goals in the PSG vs Arsenal professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Identifier

KXUCLTOTAL-26MAY30PSGARS-1

SF Signal
SF Index
5522.70
Regime
neutral

Event family

PSG vs Arsenal: Total Goals: Over.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$9K

Outcomes

4

Highest price

1.5 goals scored 73¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

755.5%

IY (No)

5522.7%

Adj IY

5523%

CRI

3

RV

104%

VR

0.38

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

755.5%
5522.7%
Adj IY
5523%
3
RV
104%
VR
0.38
IAR
0.6/h
Overround
0.6%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.