SimpleFunctions
PolymarketMay 27, 202623 days left

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?

This contract is priced at 26¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 24¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

26¢
$6K volume
$1K liquidity
100% of event volume

Event outcomes

1

Family volume

$6K

Best sibling

Ticker

0x7a454829…1658

Price history

26¢ current

+3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

24 / 27¢

Polymarket
3¢ spread
BidSize
24¢36
22¢5
20¢152
18¢67
17¢53
16¢69
15¢29
9¢48
AskSize
27¢25
28¢49
30¢71
33¢18
34¢44
35¢17
36¢198
37¢192

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

May 27, 2026

Identifier

0x7a454829…1658

Event family

This market.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$6K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision 26¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

data_release

Full indicator table

4453.2%
549.7%
Adj IY
2227%
3

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