Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?
This contract is priced at 26¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 24¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 3¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$6K
Best sibling
—
Ticker
0x7a454829…1658
Price history
26¢ current
+3¢Orderbook snapshot
24 / 27¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 27, 2026
Identifier
0x7a454829…1658
Event family
This market.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$6K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision 26¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
data_release
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 26% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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