SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 4, 202626 days left

Will Al-Hilal win Saudi Professional League?

This contract is priced at 26¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 11¢ bid, 41¢ ask, 30¢ spread.

Implied probability

26¢
$152 volume
$61 liquidity
36% of event volume

Event outcomes

2

Family volume

$422

Best sibling

Al-Nassr 61¢

Ticker

0x6a61248a…1b6b

Market snapshot

Al-Hilal in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Al-Hilal win Saudi Professional League?. The displayed quote is 26¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $12. In the Saudi Professional League: Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Al-Hilal

Family rank

#2 of 2

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

26¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 4, 2026

24h volume

$12

Family context

2 outcomes · Saudi Professional League: Winner

Quote range

26¢-61¢

Family leader

Al-Nassr 61¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: 0x6a61248a5d4e3340c5e04e85dfeaeec5c36f8b57a55102747cda36eb1cad1b6b. Family volume: $422.

Price history

26¢ current

32¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 25, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 41¢

Polymarket
30¢ spread
BidSize
11¢10
10¢1
6¢12
0¢82
0¢11
AskSize
41¢88
41¢11
41¢7
41¢8
99¢90
99¢82
100¢1.0K
100¢10

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Saudi Professional League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Saudi Professional League per the rules of Saudi Professional League (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Saudi Professional League; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 4, 2026

Identifier

0x6a61248a…1b6b

Event family

Saudi Professional League: Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$422

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Al-Nassr 61¢

Current share

36%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4053.2%
500.4%
Adj IY
0%
3
RV
761%
VR
1.19
IAR
2.9/h
LAS
1.15

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Conceptmethodology

Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome

When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Conceptmethodology

Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State

Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.

Conceptmethodology

New Market Price Formation: The First 24 Hours of a Listed Contract

When a binary contract first lists, the price moves through four phases: maker seeding, discovery flow, tentative consensus, stable pricing. Trading rules and the maker opportunity in phases 1 and 2.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index