SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJul 31, 202683 days left

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?

This contract is priced at 14¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 4¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

14¢
$929K volume
$10K liquidity
99% of event volume

Event outcomes

2

Family volume

$937K

Best sibling

December 31 13¢

Ticker

0x139ba0e7…452f

Market snapshot

July 31 in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? . The displayed quote is 14¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $100. In the SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

July 31

Family rank

#1 of 2

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

14¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jul 31, 2026

24h volume

$100

Family context

2 outcomes · SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

Quote range

13¢-14¢

Family leader

July 31 14¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC · 13m ago

Venue identifier: 0x139ba0e7f931f09466c0fb27fc8ddb5e77ce9d1e2bdc953a5f22765bf779452f. Family volume: $937K.

Price history

14¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 8¢

Polymarket
4¢ spread
BidSize
100¢4.2K
4¢308
3¢1.4K
2¢3.4K
AskSize
8¢17
9¢27
14¢68
15¢172
16¢489
18¢6
36¢49
37¢136

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities. The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jul 31, 2026

Identifier

0x139ba0e7…452f

Event family

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...? .

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$937K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

July 31 14¢

Current share

99%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.432

Observability

medium

Event type

unknown

Full indicator table

2713.5%
71.9%
Adj IY
969%
6
LAS
0.29

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