SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 20, 2026225 days left

Will Pallacanestro Trieste win Serie A?

This contract is priced at 48¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 96¢ spread.

Implied probability

48¢
$0 volume
$3 liquidity

Event outcomes

9

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

Varese 48¢

Ticker

0x8dadf30c…6c53

Market snapshot

Pallacanestro Trieste in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Pallacanestro Trieste win Serie A?. The displayed quote is 48¢ from the latest venue quote. In the Serie A: Winner family, this outcome ranks #1 of 9 by current quote across 9 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

Pallacanestro Trieste

Family rank

#1 of 9

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

48¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 20, 2026

Reported volume

Family context

9 outcomes · Serie A: Winner

Quote range

48¢-48¢

Family leader

Pallacanestro Trieste 48¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 6m ago

Venue identifier: 0x8dadf30ca76d92b3f92a0f24f21ffc777aa6822cf6514cfeac358de410bb6c53. Family volume: .

Price history

48¢ current

2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 28, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 96¢

Polymarket
96¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
96¢16
97¢28
98¢32
99¢134

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the Serie A. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Serie A per the rules of Serie A (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Serie A; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 20, 2026

Identifier

0x8dadf30c…6c53

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

176.0%

IY (No)

149.9%

Adj IY

176%

CRI

1

RV

395%

VR

3.00

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

176.0%
149.9%
Adj IY
176%
1
RV
395%
VR
3.00
IAR
2.7/h
Overround
3.3%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Conceptmethodology

Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome

When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Conceptmethodology

Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State

Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.

Conceptmethodology

New Market Price Formation: The First 24 Hours of a Listed Contract

When a binary contract first lists, the price moves through four phases: maker seeding, discovery flow, tentative consensus, stable pricing. Trading rules and the maker opportunity in phases 1 and 2.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index