Above $7.0 trillion · Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026?: Above $
Above $7.0 trillion is priced at 24¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 10 inside Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026?: Above $.
Price history
24¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If the value of Assets: Total Assets: Total Assets (Less Eliminations from Consolidation): Wednesday Level (WALCL) for Dec 30, 2026 is above $7.0 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $7.0 trillion
Rank
#9 of 10
Leader
Above $6.2 trillion 90¢
Range
14¢-90¢
Family volume
$2
Identifier
KXBALANCESHEET-EO26-7.0
Jun 6, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
20¢
Ask
28¢
Spread
8¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#9 of 10
10 outcomes · Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026?: Above $
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$2
Orderbook snapshot
20 / 28¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the value of Assets: Total Assets: Total Assets (Less Eliminations from Consolidation): Wednesday Level (WALCL) for Dec 30, 2026 is above $7.0 trillion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXBALANCESHEET-EO26-7.0
Event family
Size of Fed balance sheet on Dec 30, 2026?: Above $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Above $6.2 trillion 90¢
Current share
0%
Above $6.2 trillion
kalshi · KXBALANCESHEET-EO26-6.2
Above $6.3 trillion
kalshi · KXBALANCESHEET-EO26-6.3
Above $6.4 trillion
kalshi · KXBALANCESHEET-EO26-6.4
Above $6.5 trillion
kalshi · KXBALANCESHEET-EO26-6.5
Above $6.6 trillion
kalshi · KXBALANCESHEET-EO26-6.6
Above $6.7 trillion
kalshi · KXBALANCESHEET-EO26-6.7
Above $6.8 trillion
kalshi · KXBALANCESHEET-EO26-6.8
Above $6.9 trillion
kalshi · KXBALANCESHEET-EO26-6.9
Above $7.0 trillion
kalshi · KXBALANCESHEET-EO26-7.0
Above $7.1 trillion
kalshi · KXBALANCESHEET-EO26-7.1
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.