Solana Up or Down on June 18
Solana Up or Down on June 18 is priced at 50¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 49¢ bid, 51¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
50¢ current
Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT Jun 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT Jun 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Outcome
Solana Up or Down on June 18
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
0x2645d27c...afe8
Jun 16, 2026, 4:14 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
49¢
Ask
51¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jun 18, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
49 / 51¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT Jun 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT Jun 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 18 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 18, 2026
Identifier
0x2645d27c…afe8
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Solana Up or Down on June 18 50¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.