SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 28, 202650 days left

Will Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?

This contract is priced at 3¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

3¢
$14K volume
$17K liquidity
64% of event volume

Event outcomes

3

Family volume

$22K

Best sibling

Mike Rounds 95¢

Ticker

0x01408db0…de2e

Market snapshot

Justin McNeal in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?. The displayed quote is 3¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $14K. In the South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Justin McNeal

Family rank

#2 of 3

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 28, 2026

Reported volume

$14K

Family context

3 outcomes · South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner

Quote range

1¢-95¢

Family leader

Mike Rounds 95¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 6m ago

Venue identifier: 0x01408db0d90e6ba11f7cb6347905b8d5b69dc881de8420e4629bdc8be6aade2e. Family volume: $22K.

Price history

3¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 11, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 4¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
100¢51
100¢100
100¢6
2¢100
2¢25
2¢10
0¢27K
0¢3.4K
AskSize
4¢423
4¢100
4¢149
5¢200
5¢120
5¢260
5¢45
6¢55

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 28, 2026

Identifier

0x01408db0…de2e

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at .

View counterpart

Event family

South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$22K

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Mike Rounds 95¢

Current share

64%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

23719.6%
22.7%
Adj IY
11860%
32

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