Will Mike Rounds be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?
This contract is priced at 95¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 95¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
3
Family volume
$22K
Best sibling
Justin McNeal 3¢
Ticker
0xcd58e923…cd14
Market snapshot
Mike Rounds in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Mike Rounds be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?. The displayed quote is 95¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $6K. In the South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #1 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Mike Rounds
Family rank
#1 of 3
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
95¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 28, 2026
Reported volume
$6K
Family context
3 outcomes · South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner
Quote range
1¢-95¢
Family leader
Mike Rounds 95¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 2m ago
Venue identifier: 0xcd58e9234a761b8bf35b7b58231f085366cb7870bdc7392ae4f5464f3ac5cd14. Family volume: $22K.
Price history
95¢ current
−1¢Orderbook snapshot
95 / 96¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 28, 2026
Identifier
0xcd58e923…cd14
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 92¢, +3¢ versus this page.
Event family
South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$22K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Mike Rounds 95¢
Current share
25%
Mike Rounds
polymarket · 0xcd58e9234a761b8bf35b7b58231f085366cb7870bdc7392ae4f5464f3ac5cd14
Justin McNeal
polymarket · 0x01408db0d90e6ba11f7cb6347905b8d5b69dc881de8420e4629bdc8be6aade2e
Kristi Noem
polymarket · 0x7e5dee1786c347880059915bb00df5b567e5f04e6947aeac5590e50055ebf74c
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 95% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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