Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-03?
Prediction markets currently give a 29% probability that Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-03?. This contract trades at 29¢ on Polymarket, closing April 28, 2026. This market exhibits extreme anomalies that suggest potential data errors or illiquidity distortions: the 6,622% implied yield on the Yes side is nonsensical for a binary sports outcome, and the 487% realized volatility paired with a flat 7-day price trajectory (32¢ to 32¢) indicates the metrics may be miscalibrated.
Analysis
This market exhibits extreme anomalies that suggest potential data errors or illiquidity distortions: the 6,622% implied yield on the Yes side is nonsensical for a binary sports outcome, and the 487% realized volatility paired with a flat 7-day price trajectory (32¢ to 32¢) indicates the metrics may be miscalibrated. With only $11.66 in 24-hour volume against $1.44M open interest and a 12¢ spread, liquidity is severely constrained, making the price unreliable for actual trading or prediction purposes. The market closes in just 12 days with the match scheduled for April 3, leaving minimal time for price discovery, so caution is warranted before treating this 32% probability as a genuine market signal.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 3, 2026 If Ipswich Town FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
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Trade
sf trade 0xd0cbc289c92e7d2afcf80499b3c4f6d4458250ea40059bc2092554644e2cbeda yes 100