SimpleFunctions

Milwaukee to win St. Louis vs Milwaukee

Milwaukee is priced at 67¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 66¢ bid, 67¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside St. Louis vs Milwaukee Winner.

Price history

67¢ current

+35¢
50¢
May 22, 2026May 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Milwaukee wins the St. Louis vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 25, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Milwaukee

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Milwaukee 66¢

Range

34¢-66¢

Family volume

$66K

Identifier

KXMLBGAME-26MAY251410STLMIL-MIL

May 25, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 12m ago

Implied probability

67¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 12m ago

Bid

66¢

Ask

67¢

Spread

24h volume

$50K

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · St. Louis vs Milwaukee Winner

Closes

May 28, 2026

Family volume

$66K

Orderbook snapshot

66 / 67¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
66¢1.0K
65¢127K
64¢70K
63¢191K
62¢2.4K
AskSize
67¢298K
68¢659K
69¢220K
70¢2.2K
71¢594

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Milwaukee wins the St. Louis vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 25, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 28, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBGAME-26MAY251410STLMIL-MIL

SF Signal
SF Index
7652.32
Regime
neutral

Event family

St. Louis vs Milwaukee Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$66K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Milwaukee 66¢

Current share

76%

Browse this series

MLB Game Winner Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXMLBGAME series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

2

VR

0.12

IAR

0.3/h

LAS

0.02

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2
VR
0.12
IAR
0.3/h
LAS
0.02

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.