SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026236 days left

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?

This contract is priced at 17¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 15¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

17¢
$3K volume
$6K liquidity
3% of event volume

Event outcomes

2

Family volume

$113K

Best sibling

June 30 3¢

Ticker

0x36fcfb66…3a08

Market snapshot

December 31 in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?. The displayed quote is 17¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $3K. In the Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

December 31

Family rank

#1 of 2

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

17¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

Reported volume

$3K

Family context

2 outcomes · Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

Quote range

3¢-17¢

Family leader

December 31 17¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: 0x36fcfb6677c31da3b4d778113f9c73621aa1a393f7f91c595077a7a3e5813a08. Family volume: $113K.

Price history

17¢ current

25¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

15 / 19¢

Polymarket
4¢ spread
BidSize
15¢5
13¢157
12¢50
10¢140
6¢67
5¢7
4¢200
3¢100
AskSize
19¢60
26¢15
27¢12
28¢296
31¢168
32¢1.2K
34¢200
40¢20

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0x36fcfb66…3a08

Event family

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$113K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

December 31 17¢

Current share

3%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

755.9%

IY (No)

31.7%

Adj IY

756%

CRI

5

RV

1084%

VR

3.87

Regime

neutral

Score

0.575

Full indicator table

755.9%
31.7%
Adj IY
756%
5
RV
1084%
VR
3.87
IAR
2.7/h
6.000

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