December 31, 2026 · Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025
December 31, 2026 is priced at 35¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 26¢ bid, 42¢ ask, 16¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
35¢ current
+11¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between December 28, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Outcome
December 31, 2026
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$34K
Identifier
0x0803b42c...2bdf
Jun 8, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
26¢
Ask
42¢
Spread
16¢
24h volume
$3
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$34K
Orderbook snapshot
26 / 42¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between December 28, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x0803b42c…2bdf
Event family
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$34K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
December 31, 2026 32¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.