What is the current probability for "Tom Hoge to compete in PGA Championship in 2026?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 73¢ (73% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 24, 2026. 15 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Tom Hoge to compete in PGA Championship in 2026?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 2782.3% and 2019.0% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Tom Hoge to compete in PGA Championship in 2026?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiMay 24, 202615 days left

Tom Hoge to compete in PGA Championship in 2026?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 73¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 46¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 53¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

73¢

$0 volume

3.6 LAS liquidity

0% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$384

Best sibling

Jake Knapp 76¢

Ticker

KXPGAC-26-THOG

Market snapshot

Tom Hoge in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Tom Hoge to compete in PGA Championship in 2026?. The displayed quote is 73¢ from the visible bid/ask midpoint because the last venue price is zero. In the KXPGAC-26 family, this outcome ranks #5 of 13 by current quote across 13 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Tom Hoge

Family rank

#5 of 13

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

73¢

Quote source

Bid/ask midpoint

Timing

Listed until May 24, 2026

Reported volume

—

Family context

13 outcomes · KXPGAC-26

Quote range

1¢-83¢

Family leader

Sudarshan Yellamaraju 83¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 2m ago

Venue identifier: KXPGAC-26-THOG. Family volume: $384.

Price history

73¢ current

+71¢

25¢50¢75¢100¢

May 5, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

46 / 99¢

Kalshi

53¢ spread

BidSize

46¢10

45¢5

2¢62

AskSize

99¢10

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Tom Hoge competes in the PGA Championship in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 24, 2026

Identifier

KXPGAC-26-THOG

Event family

KXPGAC-26.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$384

Outcomes

Highest price

Sudarshan Yellamaraju 83¢

Current share

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Tom Hoge

kalshi · KXPGAC-26-THOG

46¢$0$0—

Jake Knapp

kalshi · KXPGAC-26-JKNA