SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026236 days left

Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2026?

This contract is priced at 29¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 27¢ bid, 31¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

29¢
$56K volume
$8K liquidity
4% of event volume

Event outcomes

10

Family volume

$1.3M

Best sibling

Bruno Mars 1¢

Ticker

0xa0874226…652f

Market snapshot

Drake in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2026?. The displayed quote is 29¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $56K. In the Top Spotify Artist 2026 family, this outcome ranks #2 of 10 by current quote across 10 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Drake

Family rank

#2 of 10

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

29¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

Reported volume

$56K

Family context

10 outcomes · Top Spotify Artist 2026

Quote range

0¢-66¢

Family leader

Bad Bunny 66¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 2m ago

Venue identifier: 0xa087422678cebf674c69d2c86a13b89d153951f067f753e0c2044eb991c0652f. Family volume: $1.3M.

Price history

29¢ current

+22¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

27 / 31¢

Polymarket
4¢ spread
BidSize
27¢392
27¢85
26¢404
22¢100
22¢10
22¢100
21¢10
14¢2.9K
AskSize
31¢100
31¢133
31¢199
31¢30
32¢119
32¢133
32¢68
33¢119

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026. If Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0xa0874226…652f

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at 30¢, -1¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

378.9%

IY (No)

63.2%

Adj IY

379%

CRI

2

RV

310%

VR

1.58

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

cultural

Full indicator table

378.9%
63.2%
Adj IY
379%
2
RV
310%
VR
1.58
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
-0.0%

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