SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 12, 20260 days left

Top US Netflix Show on May 11, 2026?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 94¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 93¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

94¢
$22K volume
$15K liquidity
40% of event volume

Event outcomes

14

Family volume

$56K

Best sibling

The Roast of Kevin Hart 4¢

Ticker

KXNETFLIXRANKSHOW-26MAY11-WOR

Market snapshot

Worst Ex Ever: Season 2 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Top US Netflix Show on May 11, 2026?. The displayed quote is 94¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $8K. In the Top US Netflix Show on May 11, 2026 family, this outcome ranks #1 of 14 by current quote across 14 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 7:23 PM UTC.

Outcome

Worst Ex Ever: Season 2

Family rank

#1 of 14

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

94¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 12, 2026

24h volume

$8K

Family context

14 outcomes · Top US Netflix Show on May 11, 2026

Quote range

1¢-91¢

Family leader

Worst Ex Ever: Season 2 91¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 7:23 PM UTC · 6m ago

Venue identifier: KXNETFLIXRANKSHOW-26MAY11-WOR. Family volume: $56K.

Price history

94¢ current

+91¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 7, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

93 / 94¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
93¢66
92¢13
91¢66
90¢10
89¢24
AskSize
94¢66
95¢2
96¢205
97¢1.1K
98¢1.8K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Worst Ex Ever: Season 2 is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Show on the chart published on May 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 12, 2026

Identifier

KXNETFLIXRANKSHOW-26MAY11-WOR

SF Signal
SF Index
94440.00
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

9

VR

0.45

IAR

4.8/h

LAS

0.06

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

9
VR
0.45
IAR
4.8/h
LAS
0.06

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.