December 31 · Trump renames ICE to NICE by
December 31 is priced at 28¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 26¢ bid, 30¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?.
Price history
28¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
On April 27, 2026, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt posted on X that President Donald J. Trump endorsed renaming Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE.” You can read more about that here: https://x.com/presssec/status/2048746343275938173?s=46. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that changes the name of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE” or to any name that is officially abbreviated as “NICE” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any executive action or legislation that renames Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE” or to any name that is officially abbreviated as “NICE” will qualify, regardless of if/when the change goes into effect or if the action is delayed, suspended, or subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
Outcome
December 31
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
December 31 28¢
Range
4¢-28¢
Family volume
$172K
Identifier
0x660e5732...7f0b
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
26¢
Ask
30¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$190
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Family volume
$172K
Orderbook snapshot
26 / 30¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
On April 27, 2026, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt posted on X that President Donald J. Trump endorsed renaming Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE.” You can read more about that here: https://x.com/presssec/status/2048746343275938173?s=46. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that changes the name of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE” or to any name that is officially abbreviated as “NICE” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any executive action or legislation that renames Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE” or to any name that is officially abbreviated as “NICE” will qualify, regardless of if/when the change goes into effect or if the action is delayed, suspended, or subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0x660e5732…7f0b
Event family
Trump renames ICE to NICE by.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$172K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
December 31 28¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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