Will OL Lyonnes win the 2025-26 UEFA Women's Champions League?
This contract is priced at 8¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 6¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 3¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$208
Best sibling
Barcelona 69¢
Ticker
0x0ddf0639…4975
Market snapshot
OL Lyonnes in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will OL Lyonnes win the 2025-26 UEFA Women's Champions League?. The displayed quote is 8¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $144. In the UEFA Women’s UCL: Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
OL Lyonnes
Family rank
#2 of 2
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
8¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 24, 2026
Reported volume
$144
Family context
2 outcomes · UEFA Women’s UCL: Winner
Quote range
8¢-69¢
Family leader
Barcelona 69¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 9m ago
Venue identifier: 0x0ddf063902309e9b4e2e143d343ceb64abba5d5ad6a08c7f8d13dc60e01f4975. Family volume: $208.
Price history
8¢ current
−12¢Orderbook snapshot
6 / 9¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the 2025-26 UEFA Women’s Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of 2025-26 UEFA Women’s Champions League season per the rules of UEFA Women’s Champions League (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 24, 2026
Identifier
0x0ddf0639…4975
Event family
UEFA Women’s UCL: Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$208
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Barcelona 69¢
Current share
69%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
New Market Price Formation: The First 24 Hours of a Listed Contract
When a binary contract first lists, the price moves through four phases: maker seeding, discovery flow, tentative consensus, stable pricing. Trading rules and the maker opportunity in phases 1 and 2.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 8% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.