Yes · KXSOCIALMEDIABAN-27JAN01
Yes is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
7¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If legislation banning social media use for children under 18 or any lower age threshold has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Yes
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXSOCIALMEDIABAN-27JAN01
Jun 8, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$18K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 7¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If legislation banning social media use for children under 18 or any lower age threshold has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXSOCIALMEDIABAN-27JAN01
Event family
KXSOCIALMEDIABAN-27JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Yes 3¢
Current share
—
Yes
kalshi · KXSOCIALMEDIABAN-27JAN01
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 7% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.