Will Social Security be cut?
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9%12 markets·Kalshi + Polymarket
Kalshi
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5%10 contracts
Polymarket
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27%2 contracts
Cross-venue gap22¢
Contracts
Will Katie Lam join Reform UK before June 2026?
K$12K
Will Sir John Hayes join Reform UK before June 2026?
K$4K
Will Mark Francois join Reform UK before June 2026?
K$6K
Will Esther McVey join Reform UK before June 2026?
K$8K
Will Sir Desmond Swayne join Reform UK before June 2026?
K$5K
Will Matt Vickers join Reform UK before June 2026?
K$7K
Will Joy Morrissey join Reform UK before June 2026?
K$2K
Will Liz Truss join Reform UK before June 2026?
K$5
Will Bradley Thomas join Reform UK before June 2026?
K$1
Will Lewis Cocking join Reform UK before June 2026?
K$6
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)
P$3.3M
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
P$1K