US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
This contract is priced at 14¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 13¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 3¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$79K
Best sibling
—
Ticker
0xe3438089…a7fb
Market snapshot
June 30 in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?. The displayed quote is 14¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $47. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
June 30
Family rank
—
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
14¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 30, 2026
24h volume
$47
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 3m ago
Venue identifier: 0xe34380896d3df2ac2fcd753a01b3a8887acc335778c11e93af952fd273fca7fb. Family volume: $79K.
Price history
14¢ current
−20¢Orderbook snapshot
13 / 16¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution. Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0xe3438089…a7fb
Event family
US x Cuba economic deal by.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$79K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
June 30 14¢
Current share
100%
June 30
polymarket · 0xe34380896d3df2ac2fcd753a01b3a8887acc335778c11e93af952fd273fca7fb
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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