SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 16, 202638 days left

Will James Osyf be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?

This contract is priced at 8¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 16¢ spread.

Implied probability

8¢
$1K volume
$4K liquidity
16% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$7K

Best sibling

Patrick Mosolf 3¢

Ticker

0x4ea35c89…9dd7

Market snapshot

James Osyf in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will James Osyf be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?. The displayed quote is 8¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $1K. In the VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #2 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

James Osyf

Family rank

#2 of 7

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 16, 2026

Reported volume

$1K

Family context

7 outcomes · VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Quote range

1¢-85¢

Family leader

Elaine Luria 85¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 11m ago

Venue identifier: 0x4ea35c8951c420b408b8a2a561959eaa09bd38cf50a9cae93a660db8bb209dd7. Family volume: $7K.

Price history

8¢ current

6¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 18¢

Polymarket
16¢ spread
BidSize
100¢10
2¢70
2¢30
2¢10
0¢1.0K
0¢300
0¢100
AskSize
18¢10
18¢105
18¢30
47¢50
48¢200
48¢20
61¢128
62¢234

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 16, 2026

Identifier

0x4ea35c89…9dd7

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

12865.6%

IY (No)

72.9%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

13

RV

6691%

VR

16.10

Regime

neutral

Score

0.432

Observability

medium

Event type

unknown

Full indicator table

12865.6%
72.9%
Adj IY
0%
13
RV
6691%
VR
16.10
IAR
5.1/h
Overround
-0.0%
LAS
2.14

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