Will Matt Strickler be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?
This contract is priced at 3¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 5¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
7
Family volume
$7K
Best sibling
Patrick Mosolf 2¢
Ticker
0xc337abbc…67ca
Market snapshot
Matt Strickler in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Matt Strickler be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?. The displayed quote is 3¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $594. In the VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner family, this outcome ranks #3 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
Matt Strickler
Family rank
#3 of 7
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
3¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 16, 2026
Reported volume
$594
Family context
7 outcomes · VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Quote range
1¢-86¢
Family leader
Elaine Luria 86¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 6m ago
Venue identifier: 0xc337abbce2e8618893305d5750f260c9d4c904c44d4b3e6803babe71a79b67ca. Family volume: $7K.
Price history
3¢ current
−1¢Orderbook snapshot
1 / 6¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 16, 2026
Identifier
0xc337abbc…67ca
Event family
VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$7K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Elaine Luria 86¢
Current share
8%
Matt Strickler
polymarket · 0xc337abbce2e8618893305d5750f260c9d4c904c44d4b3e6803babe71a79b67ca
Patrick Mosolf
polymarket · 0xd31952a79a0d37cb53156546b0a5af887f7b2a695b3ce08a93c1b7680e6a8966
Elaine Luria
polymarket · 0x84a6824d41a823829b98f3f9c5155437f34182fbed5ed505c09312bc423ce79d
James Osyf
polymarket · 0x4ea35c8951c420b408b8a2a561959eaa09bd38cf50a9cae93a660db8bb209dd7
Nicolaus Sleister
polymarket · 0x9d616524d75eb02d02b8cb7526f6eedb861a466519f20ff7c1dcdadd560e1815
Nila Devanath
polymarket · 0xa1ce17164121ccacfd343ce0cb8e040b271c2c03cb3da317704f9af0a8646025
Burk Stringfellow
polymarket · 0xba2bfb003ed5efa28cdf204209b13e89a568feb4660727f34a8a2a8e70a1c37f
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
political
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