Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?

Prediction markets currently give a 72% probability that Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?. This contract trades at 72¢ on Polymarket, closing May 25, 2026.

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72¢
Bid/Ask 71/73¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $401.239·OI $19,316.481·Closes May 25, 2026·28d remaining
0x02031465497d820bbdcc2a75d3c93d39e0ff7cbfa50d314707d71c6952f2db3a
7-day price3 snapshots · 13 regime
73¢72¢ current
Apr 2672¢Apr 26

Resolution rules

The 2026 Venice, Italy mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 24 and 25, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 7 and 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 499.3%
IY (No) 3301.2%
Adj IY 1605%
CRI 3
LAS 0.03
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)499.3%
IY (No)3301.2%
Adj IY1605%
CRI3
LAS0.03

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/26/2026, 1:46:45 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/26/2026, 1:38:48 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x02031465497d820bbdcc2a75d3c93d39e0ff7cbfa50d314707d71c6952f2db3a yes 100

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