Will Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
This contract is priced at 2¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$65K
Best sibling
Andrea Martella 72¢
Ticker
0xd898c319…ef3a
Market snapshot
Michele Boldrin in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?. The displayed quote is 2¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $1K. In the Venice Mayoral Election Winner family, this outcome ranks #3 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:13 AM UTC.
Outcome
Michele Boldrin
Family rank
#3 of 5
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
2¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 25, 2026
24h volume
$1K
Family context
5 outcomes · Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Quote range
0¢-72¢
Family leader
Andrea Martella 72¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:13 AM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: 0xd898c319d09f4bfbb037f401a7cf34e7952e1d782af75dc3e2ff00e2de1fef3a. Family volume: $65K.
Price history
2¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 3¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
The 2026 Venice, Italy mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 24 and 25, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 7 and 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 25, 2026
Identifier
0xd898c319…ef3a
Event family
Venice Mayoral Election Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$65K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Andrea Martella 72¢
Current share
18%
Michele Boldrin
polymarket · 0xd898c319d09f4bfbb037f401a7cf34e7952e1d782af75dc3e2ff00e2de1fef3a
Andrea Martella
polymarket · 0x02031465497d820bbdcc2a75d3c93d39e0ff7cbfa50d314707d71c6952f2db3a
Simone Venturini
polymarket · 0x6d6088a604e583b280cfea2ab4a646d0f89b446f2e13cf440694735da7e697f8
Giovanni Andrea Martini
polymarket · 0xff61591ab12aae5a43f4cde687ee3a810ec811e2832306dab0d3a139586cdda4
Pierangelo Del Zotto
polymarket · 0xaf5138f6d75fd49033ec9ce59c3dbe8604d1ae33ec2fcc655534d4fb53e07a57
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 2% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.