SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJan 1, 2027237 days left

Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?

This contract is priced at 35¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 4¢ bid, 66¢ ask, 62¢ spread.

Implied probability

35¢
$5K volume
$1K liquidity
17% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$29K

Best sibling

$2B 9¢

Ticker

0x035a884c…80b5

Market snapshot

$1.5B in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?. The displayed quote is 35¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $5K. In the Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch? family, this outcome ranks #2 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

$1.5B

Family rank

#2 of 7

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

35¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2027

Reported volume

$5K

Family context

7 outcomes · Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Quote range

5¢-40¢

Family leader

$1B 40¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 8m ago

Venue identifier: 0x035a884ce6f5336373bf691a94a8bf26ce9cb7442b944f611596f1f979dc80b5. Family volume: $29K.

Price history

35¢ current

+24¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 66¢

Polymarket
62¢ spread
BidSize
4¢401
0¢17K
0¢1.2K
0¢200
AskSize
66¢100
69¢17
70¢120
70¢30
70¢35
89¢1.5K
94¢7.0K
94¢405

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

0x035a884c…80b5

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

274.0%

IY (No)

86.7%

Adj IY

274%

CRI

2

RV

1332%

VR

7.33

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

274.0%
86.7%
Adj IY
274%
2
RV
1332%
VR
7.33
IAR
3.4/h
Overround
0.4%

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