Will edgeX reach $2.00 before 2027?
This contract is priced at 50¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 6¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 88¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
8
Family volume
$101
Best sibling
↑ $2.50 75¢
Ticker
0x3cdcc1f0…04f6
Market snapshot
↑ $2.00 in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will edgeX reach $2.00 before 2027?. The displayed quote is 50¢ from the latest venue quote. In the What price will edgeX hit in 2026? family, this outcome ranks #4 of 8 by current quote across 8 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
↑ $2.00
Family rank
#4 of 8
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
50¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jan 1, 2027
Reported volume
—
Family context
8 outcomes · What price will edgeX hit in 2026?
Quote range
46¢-75¢
Family leader
↑ $2.50 75¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 4m ago
Venue identifier: 0x3cdcc1f004b8aee2611b4818243d0e5c33d246dc0f8730b44300bd93ad9104f6. Family volume: $101.
Price history
50¢ current
−1¢Orderbook snapshot
6 / 94¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Bybit 1-minute candle for edgeX (EDGE/USDT) between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Bybit, specifically the EDGE/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.bybit.com/en/trade/spot/EDGE/USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Bybit EDGE/USDT price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
0x3cdcc1f0…04f6
Event family
What price will edgeX hit in 2026.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$101
Outcomes
8
Highest price
↑ $2.50 75¢
Current share
0%
↑ $2.00
polymarket · 0x3cdcc1f004b8aee2611b4818243d0e5c33d246dc0f8730b44300bd93ad9104f6
↑ $2.50
polymarket · 0x8f4382e9de2f28c9c16e483c7ff6e1a83d8901e2a4bcabfa5fd40dd03b921e37
↑ $3.00
polymarket · 0x552737659df817bcd7dd1af332facdde5e67e0cfce7c85beb2afc3fccf010aa9
↑ $1.80
polymarket · 0x5c4721c8e87e7a7b6bef2bbbb0a9140aab2299202774885b339928ee443201b8
↑ $1.60
polymarket · 0x04a33a3ad9f9f2839eb8f43c3ecb530a4ff0c6f9dcd2e62c6ded09ba374fd11e
↓ $0.60
polymarket · 0x6c6e8141932fe533b9de99b346bb99d5dba1676c328f1dbabafc2d89201f59f0
↓ $0.40
polymarket · 0xdee352069a36e5b72fafd904ba10a541076beca19786f08540b8f711b471588c
↓ $0.20
polymarket · 0x8e788f5298afd9a3802bc84f90a60d4ce050edee2bc6de50c75f3ab35f9c71c7
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Cross-Venue Edge Detection: Kalshi vs Polymarket
How to detect and exploit price divergences between Kalshi and Polymarket. Covers why pure arbitrage fails, cross-venue edge detection algorithms, and thesis-informed trading strategies.
Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter
How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 50% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.