What is the current probability for "Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 55¢ (55% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on January 1, 2027. 245 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 121.8% and 181.9% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 55% probability that Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 55¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2027.

██████████████████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░

55¢

Bid/Ask 40/69¢·Spread 29¢·Vol $0·OI $168.797·Closes Jan 1, 2027·245d remaining

0x0f79d61c42e75515b630419041f328a3338ed55fe22986dcc0ce4eb4d67796b8

7-day price865 snapshots · 6 regime

57¢55¢ current

Apr 844¢Apr 30

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Pump.fun (PUMP/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 17:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the PUMP/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/PUMP_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance PUMP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 121.8%

IY (No) 181.9%

Adj IY 182%

CRI 1

RV 625%

VR 5.43

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	121.8%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	181.9%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	182%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	625%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	5.43	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	2.5/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	2.8%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.432

Spread

29¢

Computed

4/30/2026, 5:57:01 PM

Observability mediumEvent type unknown

Indicators computed 4/30/2026, 5:53:10 PM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x0f79d61c42e75515b630419041f328a3338ed55fe22986dcc0ce4eb4d67796b8 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions