↓ 70 · What price will Solana hit in May
↓ 70 is priced at 4¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 15 inside What price will Solana hit in May?.
Price history
4¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Outcome
↓ 70
Rank
#1 of 15
Leader
↓ 70 3¢
Range
0¢-3¢
Family volume
$2.7M
Identifier
0x17f75289...97ec
May 28, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
4¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$31K
Family rank
#1 of 15
15 outcomes · What price will Solana hit in May?
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Family volume
$2.7M
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 4¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Identifier
0x17f75289…97ec
Event family
What price will Solana hit in May.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2.7M
Outcomes
15
Highest price
↓ 70 3¢
Current share
7%
↓ 70
polymarket · 0x17f75289919e3a2c1aac51c68827c4a53939162ff4b739f1c0609d6967dc97ec
↑ 100
polymarket · 0x49fb406f7455392f2a4b502e6eeafabb37ac6d97a01a2d641157c1fb0e446c8a
↓ 60
polymarket · 0xd5fcf134c003b4b10710de21c2f65b89ab6cfead8543501c5c380c462651b524
↑ 110
polymarket · 0xe7bad43315ef2ad5773d1ef12a735415160d7b4ee23ee39116d316dda0444b99
↑ 130
polymarket · 0x42465a3252b413e4e8b982901b78342d610280675c4ac4181c36fe578ce243b7
↑ 170
polymarket · 0xe443aa02d1aaf5dcd27d016214c7d4a7c8abc8f3ab4d984361b701eda0295f92
↓ 50
polymarket · 0xd36090f5f6a8061674f3fb02a5e6d35f934798c28dd277da0b2effa6d71a3cea
↑ 120
polymarket · 0x75581dcaeb45ad869f79b5d0304159f063a53bd37e36ec545779e1ea9096a7d4
↑ 150
polymarket · 0x7e13da4cf819f09cfe7890f8718fce6deaeb3c3c3bfe8df9a71e0c8443daadf7
↑ 140
polymarket · 0x3fd6d32c028a48b800a086f6ee52fd83ddd0db1160af34215f65f26e2e7e613a
↓ 40
polymarket · 0x7ee01296f7eeb07686834f6d12ac8e2e47800617e90036d2768f718f32236958
↑ 160
polymarket · 0xdbf6020ba2e969af1f3a2f2364329c223cd7038b2719d8f1090b19e799f190e6
↓ 10
polymarket · 0x1cd29461bd4fae776021230da686c474cd51312acf618aa67c81ef356037d536
↓ 30
polymarket · 0x52877cc5402fe0eb0ca3da1922cb63d63c9266e6f20f9d02253d58878ba436ee
↓ 20
polymarket · 0x9923c4449de3af087c64354a3af352e3d494db841ade8909fde1b3913be9119d
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 4% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.