What price will Solana hit in May?
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 3% across 1 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
3%
1 contract
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
−55pp
16h ago
24h volume
$31K
1 contracts
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
3 days
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
What price will Solana hit in May
What price will Solana hit in May?: ↓ 70
0x17f752…97ec
Analysis
This contract reflects a 58% probability that Solana's price will close May 2026 below $80. The current market assessment suggests traders view a sub-$80 close as slightly more likely than a finish at or above that level. Price movements depend primarily on broader cryptocurrency market sentiment, Bitcoin's performance as a leading indicator, and any technical developments affecting Solana's network or ecosystem adoption. The outcome resolves automatically when May concludes, with the contract settling based on Solana's closing price on May 31, 2026. Until then, volatility in spot prices on major exchanges will continuously influence trader expectations embedded in this probability.
- ›Solana's price as of late May 2026 relative to the $80 threshold—current spot price on major exchanges like Coinbase or Kraken
- ›Bitcoin's price trajectory and overall cryptocurrency market capitalization trends, which typically correlate with altcoin performance
- ›Any protocol upgrades, validator issues, or network outages affecting Solana's technical reliability in May 2026
- ›Volume and liquidity on Solana trading pairs, as low liquidity can amplify price swings in either direction
- ›Regulatory announcements or institutional adoption developments that could shift risk appetite for altcoins during the period
What moved the line
- May 28↓ 70↑3pp2→5¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
Lateral coverage
Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.
This page aggregates 1 contract (3% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.
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Related reading
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: just now.