↓ 1.20 · What price will XRP hit in May
↓ 1.20 is priced at 13¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 12¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 14 inside What price will XRP hit in May?.
Price history
13¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Outcome
↓ 1.20
Rank
#1 of 14
Leader
↓ 1.20 14¢
Range
0¢-14¢
Family volume
$1.8M
Identifier
0xe15f87a5...aaae
May 28, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
12¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$10K
Family rank
#1 of 14
14 outcomes · What price will XRP hit in May?
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Family volume
$1.8M
Orderbook snapshot
12 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Identifier
0xe15f87a5…aaae
Event family
What price will XRP hit in May.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1.8M
Outcomes
14
Highest price
↓ 1.20 14¢
Current share
4%
↓ 1.20
polymarket · 0xe15f87a5f0628f8f88ac55cb54438226fcf3d13c6b0239a06407bc803f9baaae
↑ 3.00
polymarket · 0xa0bec297c031d4de81556cc5d1f3686e73a5e543a65fd06fa95ced150030a927
↑ 1.80
polymarket · 0x2bd941bd292eea853bad6ca778f8efc3fc97590fe8ef7274ccdcf126d43e2e94
↑ 2.00
polymarket · 0x4b512b5e1511a8bc6e4fe846377b6de600405b7756736e0776d58ab32e8e443f
↑ 1.60
polymarket · 0xc781696fa5311698f3fcb1a00137ea887a6b8410a4b5225dade3937dc5af4611
↓ 1.00
polymarket · 0xb1451ae9cc7ec029e53cca7628cb3d96799bc09d828e7875f7e77880c69d2c43
↓ 0.80
polymarket · 0x42588e23f6ee4b6dbf5bcb44623ef73004a69bc63ef000fe5b2f25d871bce566
↑ 2.80
polymarket · 0x17bb6607600a84c86477e58f95104ce22fd65622b5c8f54c46aa13d946dbd2b9
↑ 2.20
polymarket · 0xf591c62e0899ea9e25f0a0e4ea365928e5a467598ec6a7e3c0fd9ffa39b00e0c
↑ 2.60
polymarket · 0xf7bf2666ad1f7882e5c88411f3202588d7e67a0081e119ea0f5f13afb70a8f5d
↑ 2.40
polymarket · 0xc551a8e786ad5d6d396b8fd02f50157bc8da2be3cace8e648fff699bf3c93119
↓ 0.60
polymarket · 0x874af340e386847bb1fac640b483fbb5b0ca0c8092062797afd5d95e5dc787f0
↓ 0.20
polymarket · 0xe710ffdd05f528360e3d1071e75fa1dff1604931505e01cce1518ca82b533e8c
↓ 0.40
polymarket · 0xed5017e3e084f77f36ad3b2030557a38c254194d6d9d1ed80ccd79f4489761ae
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.