SimpleFunctions

↓ $350 · What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in May 2026

↓ $350 is priced at 3¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in May 2026?.

Price history

3¢ current

7¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 18, 2026May 25, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the close of the last trading day in May 2026, any 1-minute candle for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.GOOGL%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.GOOGL%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Outcome

↓ $350

Rank

#6 of 16

Leader

↓ $380 52¢

Range

0¢-52¢

Family volume

$151K

Identifier

0x007872d5...2a12

May 26, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

3¢
Latest venue quote
May 26, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$1

Family rank

#6 of 16

16 outcomes · What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in May 2026?

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Family volume

$151K

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 4¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
100¢100
2¢267
2¢30
0¢3.1K
0¢367
AskSize
4¢300
4¢160
4¢30
5¢200
6¢50
7¢100
8¢55
96¢25

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the close of the last trading day in May 2026, any 1-minute candle for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.GOOGL%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.GOOGL%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

0x007872d5…2a12

SF Signal
SF Index
33330.00
Regime
neutral

Event family

What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in May 2026.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$151K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

↓ $380 52¢

Current share

1%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

↓ $380

polymarket · 0x3134f4f2cf7875ac87cb30ceab6c456fae7a189d72345b1be974357131451be7

52¢
$13K$2K

↑ $410

polymarket · 0x9def76550076528b77ee731423b5ec7f11fa631ffaf8181841ab51320ecac53b

19¢
$83K$1K

↓ $370

polymarket · 0x09c081dee0879d29efa89598a544f779dbe05fcccb24e4cd4480b96d05f30979

18¢
$7K$641

↓ $340

polymarket · 0x430254f6e3a05bd2ca19c304b6d6e4364a0a70ba97e34685fc5d2f6be65d503c

4¢
$5K$2

↓ $360

polymarket · 0xc56c3056b88f9601ae892b5c557b859771dcd4c47e305367ff60f37144fd295a

4¢
$2K$39

↓ $350

polymarket · 0x007872d5c0dad26f2a515e5cda590fc3184613c090122e1565ff352f68902a12

3¢
$1K$10.7

↓ $330

polymarket · 0x72c9b7e04d5c443ba92fcf92e434700417e23f30d28b6368e7d8e598c9a0216a

2¢
$4K$44

↑ $420

polymarket · 0xa48d7307dd58822ca3765404645b9386b2f68f3bcf402f8464c703feee7cad5d

2¢
$2K$0

↓ $320

polymarket · 0xc0cc4cff1d70dc3369ea838ed3aae1cf1e80c1d4bad6545e53755b7ec89652dd

1¢
$5K$309

↓ $300

polymarket · 0xb5fc34ccaf712e6ada723228b50e302447af878c55ebc299d3af1cffcb682610

1¢
$5K$93

↓ $310

polymarket · 0x4c8c062512be9d7636be72d0f9815ac903004fe557c24e61c6e0744a2f94db7b

1¢
$5K$584

↑ $430

polymarket · 0x757fc3adaa06fe858f7c3c6bc50259e4ddf0f1768199884a9b8cbe249ee0c165

1¢
$786$17

↑ $450

polymarket · 0x0108d9023103e5aa0914446bbadbb17eb9917fd6cb9fe70b22a59fd1fb22bf67

1¢
$677$187

↓ $280

polymarket · 0x634e2a5cf68c9453a6ff46b3b0a1afa8f780279867dd428a44d71480ad5064ef

0¢
$13K$0

↓ $290

polymarket · 0xf925af92212e687c2fe8d868c7c627802caaafebc8f2ba033fd3415e30825b67

0¢
$4K$0

↑ $440

polymarket · 0xe1e4c49a09d5195490a2fbf2f4e8e1ccf5b5d93f821bca766515de6c8111fee1

0¢
$747$0

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

32

VR

0.73

IAR

0.6/h

Overround

0.0%

LAS

0.67

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

32
VR
0.73
IAR
0.6/h
Overround
0.0%
LAS
0.67

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.