SimpleFunctions

What will CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call

Claude is priced at 61¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 62¢ bid, 69¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside What will CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call.

Price history

61¢ current

+59¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Claude is said by any CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Claude

Rank

#9 of 16

Leader

Consolidation 89¢

Range

5¢-89¢

Family volume

$449

Identifier

KXEARNINGSMENTIONCRWD-26JUN03-CLAU

May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

61¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

62¢

Ask

69¢

Spread

24h volume

$14

Family rank

#9 of 16

16 outcomes · What will CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. say during their next earnings call

Closes

Sep 30, 2026

Family volume

$449

Orderbook snapshot

62 / 69¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
62¢5
61¢80
59¢150
13¢122
12¢14
AskSize
69¢5
70¢1
80¢30
83¢20
84¢92

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Claude is said by any CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 30, 2026

Identifier

KXEARNINGSMENTIONCRWD-26JUN03-CLAU

SF Signal
SF Index
477.48
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

179.4%

IY (No)

477.5%

Adj IY

477%

CRI

2

RV

1860%

VR

9.61

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

179.4%
477.5%
Adj IY
477%
2
RV
1860%
VR
9.61
IAR
0.9/h
Overround
7.9%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.