↑ $5,400 · What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026
↑ $5,400 is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #16 of 16 inside What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?.
Price history
0¢ current
Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session as listed on Pyth will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Outcome
↑ $5,400
Rank
#16 of 16
Leader
↑ $4,600 80¢
Range
0¢-80¢
Family volume
$581K
Identifier
0xd6980bdb...5469
May 24, 2026, 11:12 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
0¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#16 of 16
16 outcomes · What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Family volume
$581K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 0¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session as listed on Pyth will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Identifier
0xd6980bdb…5469
Event family
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$581K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
↑ $4,600 80¢
Current share
4%
↑ $4,600
polymarket · 0xe3118c1b661f4b1694c0b75c1799d0ccf7d39d1c96e4df685abd725ede6b12a1
↑ $4,650
polymarket · 0x5c71b04f4feb89ced58e02dd4137deaed75253c0c119047c77aa21d65a41440a
↑ $4,700
polymarket · 0xb29233fc83030c1f9c223bc836d0066749bd145a4c9569e7348df74688450996
↓ $4,400
polymarket · 0xc007be1ec183081a5148e2cb7fbb3ffa7e949606e0a5651751701d7bf15ca86f
↑ $4,750
polymarket · 0xa809f3f82fa120734182853845ea5094e34a5af91ff948cacb2d11177a2e48fa
↑ $4,800
polymarket · 0x0a0a25b8d835aa470b1f936be1a65b0c1f7ef4bec07071423b3f4f23993339c6
↓ $4,300
polymarket · 0x21109896dd6e5dd409b601a0a3b898c1de5c9937879099c86d642d00490acef0
↑ $4,850
polymarket · 0xe540f8938504d2a03c23d21949b2c86763861dc4fed40431abd1dd7fba92354e
↓ $4,200
polymarket · 0x3a34bdcdb5332b8edb76fca831e2a48f9a43374f67cfa1dd0f6ee584a62479de
↓ $4,100
polymarket · 0xa51be928689f9301d259929815983315610448e6bd0bc7ef3c46989f1ccaf28e
↑ $4,900
polymarket · 0xa9e762800da14030767069cd499cb03e6f117cf36a1477c034e0085a6d1aef50
↑ $5,000
polymarket · 0xb0b6ce555a817b462f5d76b2b57408bc853a18406f919528fbdb20d1e709403e
↑ $5,100
polymarket · 0x170726b00f764694d3b0478bab4c89722adae31cd17ca19bf30cd940fc5904e8
↑ $5,200
polymarket · 0x69458b6d778fe2ed8190ce4752754270a8ce6445a45c2c0fcb96d280cddb1d50
↑ $5,300
polymarket · 0xffa8c8f6c22e70389676da3006df43be9dc1efa80fd452008bf457c6d2526e02
↑ $5,400
polymarket · 0xd6980bdb520c0fed40d140625d61d347960b176ddf7f122f1daaabae5afd5469
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.