What is the current probability for "What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 9?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 7¢ (7% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on April 23, 2026. 0 days remaining.

Where can I trade "What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 9?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 9?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 7% probability that What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 9?. This contract trades at 7¢ on Kalshi, closing April 23, 2026.

███░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░

7¢

Bid/Ask 0/100¢·Spread 100¢·Vol $4,627.44·OI $5,187.43·Closes Apr 23, 2026·0d remaining

KXSURVIVORMENTION-26APR22-KEY

7-day price343 snapshots · 22 regime

20¢7¢ current

Apr 161¢Apr 23

Resolution rules

If Jeff Probst says Key as part of Survivor Season 50 Episode 9 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Adj IY 85710%

CRI 13

RV 7433%

VR 0.67

IAR 3.6/h

LAS 0.14

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
Adj IY	85710%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	13	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	7433%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	0.67	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	3.6/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
LAS	0.14	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

100¢

Computed

4/23/2026, 3:57:04 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/23/2026, 2:23:24 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXSURVIVORMENTION-26APR22-KEY yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →