SimpleFunctions

↓ $142 · What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in May 2026

↓ $142 is priced at 3¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in May 2026?.

Price history

3¢ current

10¢
0¢10¢
May 18, 2026May 26, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for South Korea ETF (EWY) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the South Korea ETF (EWY) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.EWY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.EWY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Outcome

↓ $142

Rank

#12 of 16

Leader

↑ $200 80¢

Range

1¢-80¢

Family volume

$50K

Identifier

0x41c23a84...6c44

May 26, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 25m ago

Implied probability

3¢
Latest venue quote
May 26, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 25m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$239

Family rank

#12 of 16

16 outcomes · What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in May 2026?

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Family volume

$50K

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 4¢

Polymarket
3¢ spread
BidSize
100¢82
100¢7
100¢23
100¢20
100¢100
0¢341
0¢56
0¢125
AskSize
4¢50
4¢30
5¢125
5¢81
6¢60
6¢50
8¢5
15¢600

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for South Korea ETF (EWY) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the South Korea ETF (EWY) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.EWY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.EWY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

0x41c23a84…6c44

SF Signal
SF Index
100000.00
Regime
neutral

Event family

What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in May 2026.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$50K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

↑ $200 80¢

Current share

12%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

↑ $200

polymarket · 0x9e4627de0290e0167b741307c323d57d277cf75f466d8852b1f69f4690b2e978

80¢
$4K$653

↑ $204

polymarket · 0xd11134aee0ce962b753462f405bc30b5fb722a0732ca651062550f5a3cd8198c

77¢
$2K$1K

↑ 208

polymarket · 0x57084961d5d2f50e267721a6fd4090ac3d15443e7d2f01c969a220cfe08d2516

46¢
$1K$282

↓ $164

polymarket · 0x8bc09ab8924253305b5e59f7e4fc16bd56f7ddeafffcac419722f130ef1bbd15

20¢
$553$1000.7

↓ $160

polymarket · 0x4a34d2c2e756efbdefd9298ea264d0b4571cd1a895c1f95963d47d57a4ca43db

12¢
$325$100

↑ $216

polymarket · 0x3a5985b34ea4167c9461eb26f9f6c6c94c3f8c63f9959b1baee54dec71071637

6¢
$575$0

↓ $146

polymarket · 0xc67204d7f8165e7115b708f2c49e97c2f56ffb0ad32130ed4df2c7d5847e5eec

5¢
$7K$0

↓ $156

polymarket · 0xdf60cf34eceaeff9b6ab80897da6b6d276c2b6810e53fbb21451a87b2efbc8bf

5¢
$505$55

↑ $212

polymarket · 0x88ce7e8f1d8a09b59e045bd9286e53717657da1c709fdc949dc90e7c9fc95b37

5¢
$234$0

↓ $148

polymarket · 0xb8b0436cc44403a93abd1d8cd89e9e62c87d9af424c61f68786ff5ea7d964bcc

4¢
$6K$556

↑ $220

polymarket · 0x1339fb1fc87a2b158550183f65b9269151704d1c2faffc3c70fdb5e9fa21f5e0

4¢
$100$0

↓ $144

polymarket · 0xe2d2f0d362d4da3a9cb30fcff36049d9be37bbcb584fb94065731e690f643581

3¢
$8K$02.0

↓ $142

polymarket · 0x41c23a84f512c184f3e1e35572e53c0ddd82409a6164c98fa950b240c4706c44

3¢
$6K$239

↓ $152

polymarket · 0x3c63121366aec059fe2c242739b1336aa580e14af8e228be6c8c2f1b47b95039

2¢
$6K$664

↓ $150

polymarket · 0x33658b1c82c98fd3b3859ade077b530430deb3e2af8809c52b68b8726f2eb6c2

2¢
$5K$35

↓ $140

polymarket · 0x7391661893a7a513f7955d73e80f2098795c4cd4121dc0511397127c62503b6b

1¢
$3K$5

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

32

VR

0.55

IAR

0.7/h

Overround

1.5%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

32
VR
0.55
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
1.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.