SimpleFunctions

↑ $216 · What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in May 2026

↑ $216 is priced at 33¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 29¢ bid, 37¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 15 inside What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in May 2026?.

Price history

33¢ current

+22¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 18, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the close of the last trading day in May 2026, any 1-minute candle for South Korea ETF (EWY) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the South Korea ETF (EWY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.EWY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.EWY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Outcome

↑ $216

Rank

#4 of 15

Leader

↑ $204 41¢

Range

1¢-41¢

Family volume

$50K

Identifier

0x3a5985b3...1637

May 27, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 9m ago

Implied probability

33¢
Latest venue quote
May 27, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 9m ago

Bid

29¢

Ask

37¢

Spread

24h volume

$292

Family rank

#4 of 15

15 outcomes · What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in May 2026?

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Family volume

$50K

Orderbook snapshot

29 / 37¢

Polymarket
8¢ spread
BidSize
100¢75
29¢109
25¢96
8¢100
7¢429
AskSize
37¢54
50¢10
52¢10
83¢11
85¢200
99¢75

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the close of the last trading day in May 2026, any 1-minute candle for South Korea ETF (EWY) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the South Korea ETF (EWY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.EWY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.EWY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

0x3a5985b3…1637

SF Signal
SF Index
22670.81
Regime
neutral

Event family

What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in May 2026.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$50K

Outcomes

15

Highest price

↑ $204 41¢

Current share

2%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

↑ $204

polymarket · 0xd11134aee0ce962b753462f405bc30b5fb722a0732ca651062550f5a3cd8198c

41¢
$2K$360

↑ $212

polymarket · 0x88ce7e8f1d8a09b59e045bd9286e53717657da1c709fdc949dc90e7c9fc95b37

41¢
$662$324

↑ 208

polymarket · 0x57084961d5d2f50e267721a6fd4090ac3d15443e7d2f01c969a220cfe08d2516

31¢
$2K$389

↑ $216

polymarket · 0x3a5985b34ea4167c9461eb26f9f6c6c94c3f8c63f9959b1baee54dec71071637

29¢
$982$297

↑ $220

polymarket · 0x1339fb1fc87a2b158550183f65b9269151704d1c2faffc3c70fdb5e9fa21f5e0

19¢
$402$202

↓ $156

polymarket · 0xdf60cf34eceaeff9b6ab80897da6b6d276c2b6810e53fbb21451a87b2efbc8bf

4¢
$505$0

↓ $160

polymarket · 0x4a34d2c2e756efbdefd9298ea264d0b4571cd1a895c1f95963d47d57a4ca43db

4¢
$450$125

↓ $144

polymarket · 0xe2d2f0d362d4da3a9cb30fcff36049d9be37bbcb584fb94065731e690f643581

3¢
$8K$76

↓ $146

polymarket · 0xc67204d7f8165e7115b708f2c49e97c2f56ffb0ad32130ed4df2c7d5847e5eec

3¢
$7K$245

↓ $152

polymarket · 0x3c63121366aec059fe2c242739b1336aa580e14af8e228be6c8c2f1b47b95039

3¢
$6K$0

↓ $164

polymarket · 0x8bc09ab8924253305b5e59f7e4fc16bd56f7ddeafffcac419722f130ef1bbd15

3¢
$913$360

↓ $148

polymarket · 0xb8b0436cc44403a93abd1d8cd89e9e62c87d9af424c61f68786ff5ea7d964bcc

2¢
$6K$0

↓ $150

polymarket · 0x33658b1c82c98fd3b3859ade077b530430deb3e2af8809c52b68b8726f2eb6c2

2¢
$5K$0

↓ $142

polymarket · 0x41c23a84f512c184f3e1e35572e53c0ddd82409a6164c98fa950b240c4706c44

1¢
$6K$107

↓ $140

polymarket · 0x7391661893a7a513f7955d73e80f2098795c4cd4121dc0511397127c62503b6b

1¢
$4K$100

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

3

VR

1.77

IAR

0.8/h

Overround

0.8%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3
VR
1.77
IAR
0.8/h
Overround
0.8%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.