SimpleFunctions

↑ $100 · What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026

↑ $100 is priced at 28¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 27¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?.

Price history

28¢ current

34¢
25¢50¢
May 26, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Outcome

↑ $100

Rank

#2 of 16

Leader

↓ $85 30¢

Range

0¢-30¢

Family volume

$26.0M

Identifier

0x5f5818ce...acfc

May 27, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 24m ago

Implied probability

28¢
Latest venue quote
May 27, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 24m ago

Bid

27¢

Ask

28¢

Spread

24h volume

$3K

Family rank

#2 of 16

16 outcomes · What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Family volume

$26.0M

Orderbook snapshot

27 / 28¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
27¢374
26¢123
25¢270
22¢53
21¢200
19¢20
15¢100
9¢111
AskSize
28¢8
29¢36
30¢550
31¢160
32¢1.3K
33¢2.5K
36¢500
43¢8

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

0x5f5818ce…acfc

SF Signal
SF Index
18328.72
Regime
neutral

Event family

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$26.0M

Outcomes

16

Highest price

↓ $85 30¢

Current share

0%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

↓ $85

polymarket · 0x59a37ea3830d532957b04d3c437a329e14a5dc840096d48c7ee4b55ba3d9cca8

30¢
$1.2M$146K0.0

↑ $100

polymarket · 0x5f5818ceb3712f771cd0de79809f65965be7734db51f533eccd58953e0efacfc

24¢
$5K$5K0.1

↓ $80

polymarket · 0xa96e71186507bf493bd1fb8101418c369c6296a29b49514fdec3f7bfe7197909

9¢
$1.1M$64K0.2

↑ $105

polymarket · 0x4788c5625061cf39da5265dec7d29103d5c8adf774d49b1ffae9025c4563dc9a

9¢
$257K$80K0.1

↑ $110

polymarket · 0x4bab360a81b57047b48c0dd7c6c1377706129e3e6b9fa3f079cc28d310ec4cec

3¢
$4.2M$139K0.3

↑ $115

polymarket · 0xdeb0a6abf730d613190d1b49e64bbedb2af0cc14f8a6f87e8da9282e64c29c0b

2¢
$1.5M$67K

↓ $70

polymarket · 0x4f7f1f84cc0497e3f21b76628b6ed9ac9abab9893b6d23f1af6108db64c0d34c

2¢
$1.2M$24K

↑ $130

polymarket · 0x828aaec481308550a867fff3bd1e497ca1ebb5998fcf1fb40aaa4abfeb85db26

1¢
$3.1M$63K

↑ $120

polymarket · 0x416e3cbe25a60b8210f4e67c056ea2b03f4d511e7b969826d69ef90b753ff214

1¢
$2.9M$129K

↑ $150

polymarket · 0x1591b72dc504383d8fa2024e72a585c520b3c673614100d2e167507485e17e38

0¢
$3.8M$70K

↑ $200

polymarket · 0x0220e320852050a884e73bfe20447cbabe17ce934107cebc48a829b4a558204f

0¢
$3.1M$200K

↑ $140

polymarket · 0xd86177011df25e467bdfa1c25481edaf1006e88da184965173e03c8d1cc4f2d6

0¢
$2.4M$94K

↓ $60

polymarket · 0x8b0a049df1acdbb9df107f826f0b9e49c25de067be4086cdaab2a844dffcc38f

0¢
$548K$9K

↓ $40

polymarket · 0xd22fc2cfc3f2796842baeba8fcb1ff6a0a469118a2f6599e0c09c591836c04a6

0¢
$291K$6K

↓ $20

polymarket · 0xe49f349793edda9b05753be5256eeaa70bc4ef67f5579fe8ac16493dbc642901

0¢
$279K$6K

↓ $30

polymarket · 0x23ae45193d9f3719f63e7630ad0767a9a2ef92c9f7c9dd9398d3d359c7632a69

0¢
$123K$34K

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

3

VR

3.29

IAR

2.0/h

Overround

0.5%

LAS

0.11

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3
VR
3.29
IAR
2.0/h
Overround
0.5%
LAS
0.11

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.