SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2028608 days left

When will "The Last of Us" Season 3 be released?

This contract is priced at 76¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 71¢ bid, 76¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

76¢
$499 volume
$59 liquidity
104% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$481

Best sibling

Before Jul 2027 20¢

Ticker

KXTVSEASONRELEASETHELASTOFUS-28-JAN

Price history

76¢ current

+2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

71 / 76¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
71¢5
70¢6
69¢20
68¢204
65¢51
AskSize
76¢45
80¢1.0K
84¢1.0K
91¢15
92¢243

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If it has been announced that "The Last of Us" Season 3 will release before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2028

Identifier

KXTVSEASONRELEASETHELASTOFUS-28-JAN

Event family

When will "The Last of Us" Season 3 be released?: Before.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$481

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Before Jan 2028 71¢

Current share

1%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

24.5%

IY (No)

147.0%

Adj IY

73%

CRI

2

Overround

0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.432

Observability

medium

Event type

unknown

Full indicator table

24.5%
147.0%
Adj IY
73%
2
Overround
0.2%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Technicalrisk

Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter

How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.

Conceptmethodology

Liquidity Migration Across Resolution: Where the Money Goes When a Market Closes

When a flagship prediction market closes, the capital that was in it migrates to next-period siblings, adjacent categories, or off the venue entirely. Three migration patterns and the receiving-market opportunity.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index