Where will Bernardo Silva go next
Real Madrid is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 23¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 7 inside Where will Bernardo Silva go next.
Price history
26¢ current
+22¢Contract brief
If Bernardo Silva's next club is Real Madrid before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Real Madrid
Rank
#2 of 7
Leader
Barcelona 29¢
Range
2¢-29¢
Family volume
$203
Identifier
KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02BSILVA-RMA
May 26, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
23¢
Ask
34¢
Spread
11¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
#2 of 7
7 outcomes · Where will Bernardo Silva go next
Closes
Oct 9, 2026
Family volume
$203
Orderbook snapshot
23 / 34¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Bernardo Silva's next club is Real Madrid before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 9, 2026
Identifier
KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02BSILVA-RMA
Event family
Where will Bernardo Silva go next.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$203
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Barcelona 29¢
Current share
0%
Barcelona
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02BSILVA-BAR
Real Madrid
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02BSILVA-RMA
AC Milan
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02BSILVA-ACM
Juventus
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02BSILVA-JUV
Manchester City
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02BSILVA-MCI
Galatasaray
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02BSILVA-GAL
SL Benfica
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02BSILVA-BEN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.