Where will Bernardo Silva go next
Barcelona is priced at 34¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 29¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 7 inside Where will Bernardo Silva go next.
Price history
34¢ current
+27¢Contract brief
If Bernardo Silva's next club is Barcelona before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Barcelona
Rank
#1 of 7
Leader
Barcelona 29¢
Range
2¢-29¢
Family volume
$203
Identifier
KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02BSILVA-BAR
May 26, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
29¢
Ask
39¢
Spread
10¢
24h volume
$191
Family rank
#1 of 7
7 outcomes · Where will Bernardo Silva go next
Closes
Oct 9, 2026
Family volume
$203
Orderbook snapshot
29 / 39¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Bernardo Silva's next club is Barcelona before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 9, 2026
Identifier
KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02BSILVA-BAR
Event family
Where will Bernardo Silva go next.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$203
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Barcelona 29¢
Current share
94%
Barcelona
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02BSILVA-BAR
Real Madrid
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02BSILVA-RMA
AC Milan
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02BSILVA-ACM
Manchester City
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02BSILVA-MCI
Juventus
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02BSILVA-JUV
Galatasaray
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02BSILVA-GAL
SL Benfica
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02BSILVA-BEN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.