Will Tyreek Hill play for the Los Angeles Chargers next?

Prediction markets currently give a 47% probability that Will Tyreek Hill play for the Los Angeles Chargers next?. This contract trades at 47¢ on Polymarket, closing August 31, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 79¢ spread, making the 41¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading.

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47¢
Bid/Ask 2/93¢·Spread 91¢·Vol $0·OI $11.715·Closes Aug 31, 2026·130d remaining
0x64f7eb934105648d5944a509b83938c7262939a7616d1ce746dfb0e14b918c19
7-day price1163 snapshots · 3 regime
48¢46¢ current
Apr 830¢Apr 22

Analysis

6d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 79¢ spread, making the 41¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading. The 384.3% implied yield on the Yes side and extraordinarily high realized volatility of 1088% suggest wild price swings driven by minimal trading activity rather than fundamental conviction about Hill's future. With 137 days to expiry and an info arrival rate of 3.6 news items per hour, the market appears to be pricing in significant uncertainty, though the low open interest of $18.907 indicates this is a niche prediction with minimal market participation.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the next NFL team Tyreek Hill joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Tyreek Hill does not join a new NFL team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Tyreek Hill joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Tyreek Hill is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any NFL team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market. An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL or the acquiring team.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 303.6%
IY (No) 258.7%
Adj IY 304%
CRI 1
RV 669%
VR 3.72
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)303.6%
IY (No)258.7%
Adj IY304%
CRI1
RV669%
VR3.72
IAR3.2/h
Overround1.3%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
91¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 6:52:54 PM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 6:38:24 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x64f7eb934105648d5944a509b83938c7262939a7616d1ce746dfb0e14b918c19 yes 100

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