Will Peso Pluma have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
This contract is priced at 62¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 27¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 69¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$100K
Best sibling
Billie Eilish 32¢
Ticker
0x6c5a6d0c…cd51
Market snapshot
Peso Pluma in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Peso Pluma have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?. The displayed quote is 62¢ from the latest venue quote. In the Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year? family, this outcome ranks #3 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.
Outcome
Peso Pluma
Family rank
#3 of 16
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
62¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
Reported volume
—
Family context
16 outcomes · Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
Quote range
6¢-90¢
Family leader
Mariah Carey 90¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 6m ago
Venue identifier: 0x6c5a6d0c88fd31daf9be8c690fabb78965f0a6996a39ae7b57cd853345d8cd51. Family volume: $100K.
Price history
62¢ current
+11¢Orderbook snapshot
27 / 96¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart. Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026. Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x6c5a6d0c…cd51
Event family
Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$100K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Mariah Carey 90¢
Current share
0%
Peso Pluma
polymarket · 0x6c5a6d0c88fd31daf9be8c690fabb78965f0a6996a39ae7b57cd853345d8cd51
Billie Eilish
polymarket · 0x892d3a913a5ce5fac86c88eb362b7858bfa866f579be5f184bf6cddcb587f6c6
Doja Cat
polymarket · 0xe45c05ece77ebe05f9ad325001ac226cb9c862b077030b65286891bef5b4859c
Frank Ocean
polymarket · 0xade5d24a028335c1af2e80dec01422a656226c584455e6852189c39cfebdb830
Jack Harlow
polymarket · 0x33af2eb0a55b053264f88a29977837e500c9a4aabdd1da9fcf1ce1428d6aa903
Playboi Carti
polymarket · 0x9acd1fad62009e8eaa01a55b680cd2157b62addaeb281e9592ab76d20799643b
Future
polymarket · 0xf9ab3829eb85b2846f8e4f8d02e3fd035381309c3b5d7a1a04e41e9cba74fd82
The Weeknd
polymarket · 0xbc4dbe5037661f27535ffa738b693d6003053a87c9ee527988d8d4a880a106a9
Kendrick Lamar
polymarket · 0x0cac4e851f08527d142c537bd80c3c0ccc642e59928354c76f0834c018f8c029
Drake
polymarket · 0x14db5fe75bc6f415da24c368c82e30d72fd58fc6ae631df757a0ceac4de5509b
Luke Combs
polymarket · 0x51eb1fc36e97b2aebe47baf0ff55a86c280d41cbb0d250a5eadceedc4f6d81d8
Mariah Carey
polymarket · 0x32c9802fd247d6049bd22b038b245d3d92be89c8bdc6e3c06760215643693461
A$AP Rocky
polymarket · 0xcb9afce56f5c231235c2e8e93acb3783d8860bd20a0949f55239c3372acc2693
Zach Bryan
polymarket · 0xe90f835a4874a9632d1848f0664cfbb984b2ac0232c0c331988efc9a80e4d56d
Kanye West
polymarket · 0x3297ab8538e92f2d798ed9cf0036d7306c3bd1dd71c2a6d76756d3b838bf2832
Rihanna
polymarket · 0x0e3dadcf791ff5c1b63055ac7401d5994e5f8cac2c423d86ef86bbd40821914c
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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