Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?
This contract is priced at 74¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 73¢ bid, 74¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$32K
Best sibling
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel 53¢
Ticker
0xfb0b73b8…0178
Market snapshot
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?. The displayed quote is 74¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $53. In the Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday? family, this outcome ranks #5 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:53 AM UTC.
Outcome
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts
Family rank
#5 of 16
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
74¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 18, 2026
Reported volume
$53
Family context
16 outcomes · Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?
Quote range
17¢-87¢
Family leader
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool 87¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:53 AM UTC · 11m ago
Venue identifier: 0xfb0b73b8b75b7a5b16c8ef33527db8419eff97e0f886cbd16a8a2d22af350178. Family volume: $32K.
Price history
74¢ current
+24¢Orderbook snapshot
73 / 74¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December, 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 18, 2026
Identifier
0xfb0b73b8…0178
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 53¢, +21¢ versus this page.
Event family
Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$32K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool 87¢
Current share
0%
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts
polymarket · 0xfb0b73b8b75b7a5b16c8ef33527db8419eff97e0f886cbd16a8a2d22af350178
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel
polymarket · 0x7560d17de8eba126e67e2d32e88faf61b0fa558d88b258accaf097e43a0382c5
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man
polymarket · 0xd4ba56820e4a287a3997e780a592516228fb13a262ec56aea4141cd6a881d5d9
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool
polymarket · 0x5f74b5e8492af8a75bcc971e0285b6e4fea82d92d39e32dba1fb4e04db9bc837
Tom Holland as Spider-Man
polymarket · 0x116ef6172ae1fa2b206be1910f41a27f4a25bb7ed54d761157973a59518bd3ad
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man
polymarket · 0x07eaadb00e3996a0877b0242b702391addfe503766b0137807a41e13f5a0eb2d
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk
polymarket · 0xd6696b1f8f76b02c28b1ad2288da9080cdb5f12a90fc6330cd1f4bd06a2ddd35
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau
polymarket · 0xe9f21f3752e963d62932423d02def8a1dbb8039304582047258620e11755da34
Jonathan Majors as Kang
polymarket · 0xdf0c6b5d69af22deae2f14aec8fc3c4c8f20e61e0a7de3a4861838cc9d984d8d
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan
polymarket · 0x76415d8735b0e5bf13d2ec0473ead9bd40f07ea8c82487328408db95cb3a602f
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine
polymarket · 0x9a22f275ad5ebdac774ea6ad6f9e52fcb252187980a0be2becdb24c338b9a716
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp
polymarket · 0x4889f2333d0cda4368a7d37afc2a3a47fa628af304608c095774f3075c3eb95f
Halle Berry as Storm
polymarket · 0xc5b8a7e89e60c30d6c1e3ab30353708344e571c5e0be69459b0de480f7e6fb72
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine
polymarket · 0x6fe9f26e476b3db70ddda41e130dae8afe499cb78ef247daaf3336217366ebde
Benedict Wong as Wong
polymarket · 0xb88efe58d64f0a8bd3a5c68097ea8d703407432f9557f2550e65e6725800956a
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop
polymarket · 0xf9a646015bbf0c35b5de4bd4d69a5c78edf65c1c94b05104717237de154fc173
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Prediction Market Index
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Event Probability API
Read 74% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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