Will North America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This contract is priced at 2¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 0¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
6
Family volume
$1.9M
Best sibling
Africa 3¢
Ticker
0x7eff9495…eb5e
Price history
2¢ current
−1¢Orderbook snapshot
2 / 2¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026. For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent). The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
—
Identifier
0x7eff9495…eb5e
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 3¢, -1¢ versus this page.
Event family
Which continent will win the 2026 Fifa World Cup.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$1.9M
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Europe 73¢
Current share
10%
North America
polymarket · 0x7eff94953c3d8aa9a36e45a545e57564100ef003a90f088b3eff4a798b35eb5e
Africa
polymarket · 0xd71197329e1145258b960c36269870229ee816b0aa089e8f1b64ea196d7e2d08
Oceania
polymarket · 0xf212bd2891f0e33a1c16730bd8980c69ffd9d0eca10b43191b73dac023262fed
Asia
polymarket · 0x60acf099fa9533670907f84fe43948027d33696e159c9b31e5b71e29070c00bc
South America
polymarket · 0x0ed2e5e985631ab71750ad21a40503508a5f7d928032b2d1f8c901013f4e002f
Europe
polymarket · 0x3561a95d16ac2edfd3831aba4612c88c6f5b84a6f0924bdb6b07dc7cfe73e121
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
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