Toy Story 5 · Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026
Toy Story 5 is priced at 3¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 8 inside Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?.
Price history
3¢ current
−37¢Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week. If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Outcome
Toy Story 5
Rank
#5 of 8
Leader
Avengers: Doomsday 69¢
Range
0¢-69¢
Family volume
$9K
Identifier
0xbaf6c46a...6089
May 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 41m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
3¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$599
Family rank
#5 of 8
8 outcomes · Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$9K
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 3¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week. If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0xbaf6c46a…6089
Event family
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$9K
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Avengers: Doomsday 69¢
Current share
6%
Avengers: Doomsday
polymarket · 0xa05d8a684b40450d2b8a8fdf07df0b50089de97f675bb4489ffa81b00abb60c4
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
polymarket · 0x5e38b77551a62c844b4250a569ec2652f522b01312e428842bf03337405a555a
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
polymarket · 0xc92669ffb44a1544c5baf855dd3fa637da6d06c3d2fe419442bd4a1bbd723ab2
Dune: Messiah
polymarket · 0x5416ffa09e4ba9a1762a293a2d22bd8b815dbb0ffa3bb6018c23589d9ca0376e
Toy Story 5
polymarket · 0xbaf6c46a63acfeb05de6db22cb5041d13f7e57a0c9e45f3a1c8cd83ab6416089
The Odyssey
polymarket · 0x1b58ddf8c1725f6eb3e57eaa2707a5c65083a361191e2c5701cd9f0b538be791
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
polymarket · 0xb35ee689c6ff78af433c3c24f3be5fad3e50fe2bc4dc31d2b89855aa8887ed76
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
polymarket · 0x7633d90db17a6e43c5f6748d7e71ec1bfe45e2c1741d69409a4f42d7a864b8c5
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
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