Who will advance the California Insurance Commissioner primary
Jane Kim is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 6 inside Who will advance the California Insurance Commissioner primary.
Price history
25¢ current
+12¢Contract brief
If Jane Kim advances in the California Insurance Commissioner primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jane Kim
Rank
#3 of 6
Leader
Ben Allen 89¢
Range
10¢-89¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXCAINSCOM-26-JKIM
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
28¢
Ask
29¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$310
Family rank
#3 of 6
6 outcomes · Who will advance the California Insurance Commissioner primary
Closes
Jun 2, 2027
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
28 / 29¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jane Kim advances in the California Insurance Commissioner primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 2, 2027
Identifier
KXCAINSCOM-26-JKIM
Event family
Who will advance the California Insurance Commissioner primary.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Ben Allen 89¢
Current share
0%
Ben Allen
kalshi · KXCAINSCOM-26-BALL
Stacy A. Korsgaden
kalshi · KXCAINSCOM-26-SKOR
Jane Kim
kalshi · KXCAINSCOM-26-JKIM
Patrick Wolff
kalshi · KXCAINSCOM-26-PWOL
Steven Craig Bradford
kalshi · KXCAINSCOM-26-SBRA
Robert P. Howell
kalshi · KXCAINSCOM-26-RHOW
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.