Who will advance the California Insurance Commissioner primary
Stacy A. Korsgaden is priced at 54¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 55¢ bid, 56¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside Who will advance the California Insurance Commissioner primary.
Price history
54¢ current
−14¢Contract brief
If Stacy A. Korsgaden advances in the California Insurance Commissioner primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Stacy A. Korsgaden
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
Ben Allen 89¢
Range
10¢-89¢
Family volume
$9K
Identifier
KXCAINSCOM-26-SKOR
May 28, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
55¢
Ask
56¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$4K
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · Who will advance the California Insurance Commissioner primary
Closes
Jun 2, 2027
Family volume
$9K
Orderbook snapshot
55 / 56¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Stacy A. Korsgaden advances in the California Insurance Commissioner primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 2, 2027
Identifier
KXCAINSCOM-26-SKOR
Event family
Who will advance the California Insurance Commissioner primary.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$9K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Ben Allen 89¢
Current share
43%
Ben Allen
kalshi · KXCAINSCOM-26-BALL
Stacy A. Korsgaden
kalshi · KXCAINSCOM-26-SKOR
Jane Kim
kalshi · KXCAINSCOM-26-JKIM
Steven Craig Bradford
kalshi · KXCAINSCOM-26-SBRA
Patrick Wolff
kalshi · KXCAINSCOM-26-PWOL
Robert P. Howell
kalshi · KXCAINSCOM-26-RHOW
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 54% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.